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  <title>Universal Convergence in OECD R&amp;D Researcher Capacity: Persistence, Selective Catch-Up, and Multiple Trajectories (2015-2024)</title>
  <journal>Journal of Information &amp; Systems Management</journal>
  <author>Ngobum Chinwengozi Ibe (Mrs)</author>
  <volume>16</volume>
  <issue>3</issue>
  <year>2026</year>
  <doi>https://doi.org/10.6025/jism/2026/16/3/126-156</doi>
  <url>https://www.dline.info/jism/fulltext/v16n3/jismv16n3_3.pdf</url>
  <abstract>This study examines the convergence, persistence, catch up dynamics, and heterogeneous trajectories of
R&amp;D researcher capacity across OECD and selected partner economies during 2015-2023. Using an integrated
analytical framework combining ï³ convergence, absolute ï¢ convergence, the Phillips Sul log-t test, Markov
transition analysis, trajectory clustering, compound annual growth rate (CAGR) analysis, and a growth
level typology, the study investigates whether national researcher stocks move toward a common long run
equilibrium or instead follow differentiated development paths. The results decisively reject universal
convergence: cross country dispersion did not decline systematically, the ï¢ -convergence coefficient was
statistically insignificant (ï¢ = +0.000599, p = 0.867), and the Phillips Sul test rejected overall convergence
(t = -22.002). Markov transition analysis revealed strong structural persistence, with probabilities of
remaining in the same capacity state ranging from 74.4% to 94.1%. Nevertheless, the study identified selective
catch up: Poland, TÃ¼rkiye, Hungary, Slovenia, and Croatia showed rapid researcher capacity growth and
formed a statistically distinct trajectory cluster. The growth level typology classified countries into four
regimes: strategic leaders, mature leaders, catch up economies, and persistent laggards. The study concludes
that R&amp;D researcher capacity constitutes a multi regime system characterized by simultaneous persistence,
selective catch up, and multiple trajectories rather than a single convergence process. These findings carry
significant implications for differentiated science, technology, and innovation policy design.</abstract>
</record>
